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World Wrap

World Wrap

– International equities and Commodities outperformed. Commodities are on the cusp of positive returns for 2023.
– Sectors were mixed with declines in interest rate-sensitive sectors like Utilities and Real Estate. Technology stocks also declined.
– Developed Europe is the best-performing region in the world, driving international equities to outperformance.
– An inflationary week with strong performance from Commodities as US Treasuries and the US Dollar struggled.

World Wrap

World Wrap

– Stocks were flat, while Commodities and Treasuries rallied.
– The market advance in 2023 isn’t a broad one – it’s Large Growth and Tech move. Four of six factors are down year-to-date.
– The yield curve inverted further matching levels only seen in 1973-74 and 1979-81.
– Oil prices rallied 6.7% on the announcement of a Saudi-led cut in oil production

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Market Risk Index

Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.

Model Category Readings (Percentiles)

  • Psychology 99.7% 99.7%
  • Monetary 87.2% 87.2%
  • Valuation 99.3% 99.3%
  • Market Trend 9.8% 9.8%