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World Wrap

World Wrap

– Global equities and commodities advanced, while Global Fixed Income suffered losses.
– Interest rate sensitive sectors struggled. Real Estate dropped 2.4%, and Utilities declined by more than 4%.
– Fed’s Bullard sees two more rate hikes needed in 2023, while Fed’s Kashkari says a rate hike in June is a close call.
– Yields on the 30Yr Treasury approached 4%, the highest level since March.

World Wrap

World Wrap

– While not severe, all major asset classes declined last week.
– Another advance by Large Growth stocks was insufficient to keep every other style and factor from dragging down cap-weighted indices.
– Latin America stood out, advancing 2.8% in a week when most equity markets declined.
– Spreads between different durations of short-term Treasury Bills have been volatile over the last six weeks as debt-ceiling talks continue.

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Market Risk Index

Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.

Model Category Readings (Percentiles)

  • Psychology 99.7% 99.7%
  • Monetary 87.2% 87.2%
  • Valuation 99.3% 99.3%
  • Market Trend 9.8% 9.8%