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World Wrap

World Wrap

– US Equities and Commodities declined. Foreign stocks and prices on US Treasuries moved higher.
– Value stocks were hit hardest led by a 5.8% decline in Energy stocks. Technology stocks still managed to have a positive return.
– The Fed increased rates by 0.25 percent last week, it’s the 10th increase in the rate by the Fed in a little over a year.
– Yield Curve inversion worsened, becoming the second most severe inversion in over a century.

World Wrap

World Wrap

– US Financial assets climbed. International stocks were flat, and Commodities declined.
– Narrow advance last week as Large Cap stocks drove cap-weighted indices higher. All styles of Mid and Small Caps closed the week in the red.
– European stocks, both developed and emergin, are dominating global equity markets thus far in 2023, closing higher again last week.
– Long duration Treasuries rallied, and the yield curve inversion hit new lows. 2023’s inversion is close to taking the title for the 2nd largest inversion in over 100 years.

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Market Risk Index

Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.

Model Category Readings (Percentiles)

  • Psychology 99.7% 99.7%
  • Monetary 87.2% 87.2%
  • Valuation 99.3% 99.3%
  • Market Trend 9.8% 9.8%