– 2023 is off to a strong start for global equities and bonds with all major asset classes except commodities moving higher in the first two weeks of January.
– Healthcare and Consumer Staples were the only two sectors that did not participate in the market’s advance.
– International equities are outperforming US Equities with both developed and emerging markets outperforming.
– Bitcoin rallied 17% last week and is up 19.5% since the start of the year.
Archive
Market Outlook – Corporate Insiders are selling the rally.
World Wrap
– 2023 kicked off with a rally for risk assets, except for Commodities, which declined 6% on falling oil prices.
– Value stocks got off to a strong start, outperforming growth stocks substantially. Healthcare was the only sector to finish in the red for the week.
– German stocks advanced 5.3% driving developed international equity indices higher.
– Yields on 10Yr Treasuries fell while T-Bill yields rose, leading to the deepest yield curve inversion since the early 80s.
Market Outlook – Equity Put/Call Ratio blows past old record.
%
Market Risk Index
Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.
Model Category Readings (Percentiles)
- Psychology 99.7%
- Monetary 87.2%
- Valuation 99.3%
- Market Trend 9.8%