Research
![World Wrap](https://www.cypresscapital.com/wp-content/uploads/Research/Reports/20240218-World-Wrap-pdf.jpg)
World Wrap
– Mixed performance from key asset classes. International stocks bounced, while US stocks were the worst performing asset class.
– US equities down week was concentrated in Tech and Large Caps. Seven of nine style boxes were up, as were seven of the 11 sectors.
– Broad advance in international markets with 80% of countries advancing. China rallied 3.7%.
– Stronger than expected inflation sent prices on US Treasuries lower. The yield on the 2Yr Treasury has climbed 50 basis points in the last month to 4.6%.
![Market Outlook – Stretched Valuations](https://www.cypresscapital.com/wp-content/uploads/Research/Reports/20240217-Cypress-Market-Outlook-pdf.jpg)
Market Outlook – Stretched Valuations
![World Wrap](https://www.cypresscapital.com/wp-content/uploads/Research/Reports/20240212-World-Wrap-pdf.jpg)
World Wrap
– US Equities and Commodities rallied. They are also the only two major asset classes with positive year-to-date returns.
– All style boxes advanced, but smaller cap stocks and value stocks underperformed. Growth and Tech outperformed.
– International equities were flat, with slightly more than half of countries advancing. More than 60% of countries are down year-to-date.
– US Treasuries declined, and breakevens on US TIPS are starting to signal a rebound in the rate of inflation.
![Market Outlook – It’s Officially a Split Market](https://www.cypresscapital.com/wp-content/uploads/Research/Reports/20240211-Cypress-Market-Outlook-pdf.jpg)
Market Outlook – It’s Officially a Split Market
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Market Risk Index
Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.
Model Category Readings (Percentiles)
- Psychology 96.8%
- Monetary 53.8%
- Valuation 99.9%
- Trend 47.0%