Research

World Wrap

World Wrap

– Global financial assets rebounded sharply during the first week of November. Commodities sold off on lower oil prices.
– A sea of green – every style, factor and sector climbed. Small cap value was the biggest winner, rallying almost 9%.
– Internationally, 43 of 44 countries that we monitor advanced. Mexico is having a good year – up 9.3% last week and up more than 21% year-to-date.
– Yields fell globally after Powell’s press conference and a weaker than expected jobs report as markets again bet that the Fed is done.

World Wrap

World Wrap

– A more traditional risk off week as global stocks and commodities declined while yields on global fixed income fell.
– Utilities was the only sector to move higher. Large Growth was the biggest style box underperformer.
– Emerging markets outperformed Developed markets with declines being mitigated by a 2.5% rebound in Chinese equities.
– Bitcoin rallied 14% amid continued speculation surrounding a possible Bitcoin spot ETF.

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Market Risk Index

Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.

Model Category Readings (Percentiles)

  • Psychology 96.8% 96.8%
  • Monetary 53.8% 53.8%
  • Valuation 99.9% 99.9%
  • Trend 47.0% 47.0%