Research

World Wrap

World Wrap

– A stagflationary performance week with Global stocks and bonds selling off, and Commodities rallying.
– Energy and Consumer Staples were the only safe havens. Five of nine style boxes closed out the week in red for the year.
– China sank to new bear market lows in US dollar terms. The country’s bear market is four months away from its third birthday.
– Yields on 10Yr Treasuries climbed to new highs, stopping just shy of 5%. It’s the highest level since the summer of 2007.

World Wrap

World Wrap

– All key asset classes advanced. Commodities were the biggest winner on a sharp rebound in oil prices.
– Not a broad rally across factors. Mid and Small Caps declined. Energy and Utilities saw the largest gains.
– International equities rallied. Israel’s equity market declined 8.8% after the Hamas attack.
– Fixed income markets advanced, and yields fell. Gold prices also rebounded by more than 5%.

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Market Risk Index

Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.

Model Category Readings (Percentiles)

  • Psychology 96.8% 96.8%
  • Monetary 53.8% 53.8%
  • Valuation 99.9% 99.9%
  • Trend 47.0% 47.0%