Research
![World Wrap](https://www.cypresscapital.com/wp-content/uploads/Research/Reports/20231009-World-Wrap-pdf.jpg)
World Wrap
– US Equities managed a small advance in a week where all other major asset classes declined.
– Large Cap and Large Cap growth were the only styles to move higher, driven by a bounce in Technology stocks.
– Fairly broad declines across international markets with only seven of 44 countries we track moving higher, including the United States.
– Yield Curve is beginning to steepen, but it’s coming from the long end of the curve. 30Yr Treasury yields are approaching 5% for the first time since 2007.
![Market Outlook – Bond Vigilantes attempt to make the Fed Model relevant again.](https://www.cypresscapital.com/wp-content/uploads/Research/Reports/20231007-Cypress-Market-Outlook-pdf.jpg)
Market Outlook – Bond Vigilantes attempt to make the Fed Model relevant again.
![Q3 2023 World Wrap](https://www.cypresscapital.com/wp-content/uploads/Research/Reports/2023_Q3-World-Wrap-pdf.jpg)
Q3 2023 World Wrap
– Commodities were the only asset class winner for Q3, riding a move by crude oil to $90 a barrel. All other major asset classes declined.
– Small cap value stocks are down year-to-date. They are lagging Large Cap Growth stocks by the most amount since the Covid and Internet bubbles.
– Emerging markets finished the quarter 2.5% lower, just holding on to a positive 2.2% year-to-date return.
– Fixed income struggled as Treasury yields broke to 10 year highs. Crude oil futures were up more than 30% in Q3.
![Market Outlook – Investing TIPS](https://www.cypresscapital.com/wp-content/uploads/Research/Reports/20230930-Cypress-Market-Outlook-pdf.jpg)
Market Outlook – Investing TIPS
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Market Risk Index
Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.
Model Category Readings (Percentiles)
- Psychology 96.8%
- Monetary 53.8%
- Valuation 99.9%
- Trend 47.0%